finance and economics
Posted by admin on October 14th, 2011
I do not understand the following comments from a “think tank friend,” other than to know that nothing happening economically in America is new. History indicates that we have been in these circumstances before. However, the “think tank person” below assures me/us that the entire history of the world (economically) pales with ours of here and now . . . by any measure.
“There remains an issue with housing that until it is remedied, we are in for an extended period of stagnation and underemployment. It will take many years to remedy and may not be at all if we elect a Republican next year . . . but if we can re-elect Obama, along with the house regaining a democratic majority, there could be some cool stuff in 2013 . . . Like actually legislating the requirements to roll back mortgages to 80% of CURRENT MARKET VALUE.
“The Dem caucus recently hit leadership with its latest demand (Zoe Lofgren of San Jose) that the Congress take such action. Once Obama realizes he has the votes and is no longer concerned about re-election, all bets are off for his support of what we thought were his “issues” like getting troops out of Afghanistan, gay marriage, legalized drugs and other liberal hot buttons . . .”
The comments above and below come from one of the most brilliant people I know in response to my questions and the simplistic ranting “economic view” found on YouTube.
This gentleman’s degrees include Finance, Business, Law (he holds a JD). His career includes real estate (broker and commercial sales), estate analysis/planning, insurance sales, government bond specialist, and he held seven securites licenses. For a NYSE firm, he was responsible for nearly 100 brokers, 10 traders, a real estate syndication department, a public finance department and overall operations for the largest branch office in the company. His “letters to editors” at various publications are always published. He is also a licensed sea captain.
He and his wife are extremely ethical people: They are in a position to shuck and jive people and make lots more money. They do not!
I sent him a comedian’s smart-ass rant from YouTube about America’s current economic state. His knowledgable and thoughtful responses to my questions include:
“The world and especially the US have issues . . . a balanced budget isn’t it. The proliferation of the notion that a sovereign nation’s debt is like a family credit card is DANGEROUS. Economics is more complicated than the jive-ass on YouTube would have you believe.
What OUR nation needs right now is government spending and well in excess of current revenues (which translates to bigger deficits). It doesn’t need higher taxes OR reduced spending. Part of the problem is the law of big numbers–people hear $14+ trillion national debt and that IS a big number . . . so it must be a problem?
As a percent of GDP, it is below average for the world and if we can find growth of even 3%, in a few years, the percent of debt to GDP would be cut in half!!! And contrary to the speaker’s rant, we don’t care who buys the debt, even the Chinese.
Do you remember in early 80′s it was the Japanese who would take over the world, then it was the Saudi’s (or other middle eastern oil sheikdoms). Do you remember too that certain nations, like Germany after WWI and Argentina and Brazil in the early 70′s “monetized” their debt? Sovereign nations can do that. Sure some stuff will cost more (and no, I don’t advocate that we take it to the extreme that either Germany or Argentina did), but guess what? It is almost unanimous among economists that inflation is a good thing- to a certain extent. And currently, the US has NONE!!! You need some inflation for growth and to stimulate job creation!
We need growth in this country and fast and if we manage to explain the reasons to a majority (51% will do), we will avoid a cataclysmic financial disaster. The logic of the comedian has taken over in the EU and the “austerity” measures in Greece and to a lesser extent in Spain, Portugal, Ireland and perhaps to a lesser extent in Britain and France and Italy will lead to slower growth, less government revenues, more unemployment (citizen misery) and what economists call a death cycle. It has happened before and as recently as 1938 in the US.
I am thankful that there are people out there like Obama who do get it. Problem is that we need to somehow prevent those that feel downtrodden to vote and act contrary to their best interests.
I used to hear investment clients say they wanted time to “research” my recommendations to them. After all, Chuck Schwab has been telling them for years, that a few minutes online at the Schwab website and they will be financial geniuses. My response was always the same . . .
Do you really think that you can gain sufficient knowledge of the subject to form a reasonable opinion in a few minutes of research? I have spent 6 years of college studying finance and economics (SDSU finance and GGU MsF) and now almost a lifetime in the financial markets. Are you suggesting that Facebook or Google can answer to that?
I don’t want to be harsh. We will talk more later.
is often cited as the best book ever written about market psychology. This edition includes Charles Mackay’s account of three infamous financial manias – John Law’s Mississipi Scheme, the South Sea Bubble, and Tulipomania. These three historic episodes confirm that greed and fear have always been the driving forces of financial markets, and, furthermore, that being sensible and clever is no defence against the mesmeric allure of a popular craze with the wind filling its sails. Charles Mackay proved himself a master chronicler of social as well as financial history. Blessed with a cast of characters that covered all the vices, gifted a passage of events which was inevitably heading for disaster, and with the benefit of hindsight, he produced a record that is at once a riveting thriller and absorbing historical document. A century and a half later, it is as vibrant and lurid as the day it was written. For modern-day investors, the moral of the popular manias scarcely needs spelling out. When the next bubble comes along — be it stock market, real estate, or tulips — be advised to recall the plight of some of the unfortunates on these pages, and avoid getting dragged under the wheels of the careening career bandwagon yourself.
I’m 2.5 years into working to save my home from foreclosure. After two years of battle, and an 8-inch thick 20 pound binder, I was accidentally given a 5-year loan modification.
A note of caution, please consider carefully, especially if your dream career is photography. Yes, it is a seemingly “romantic” career path. It is also an extremely difficult one because everyone with a tiny camera or cell phone is shooting these days. If you don’t need income (and I’m assuming you wouldn’t be on this site if you don’t), this is a rough road.


Emotional abuse includes: “Subjecting an individual to fear, isolation or serious emotional distress.”

As near as I can figure there are TWENTY-ONE errors during the past year alone. Wells’ mistakes include repeatedly lost documents resulting in denials, misinformation during telephone conversations, two outright lies (one before a Superior Court Judge and one in writing in response to a Congressional Inquiry) . . .
Never afraid of anything in my life, I am now afraid of our mortgage lenders and our banking system; they have too much control, do not manage it accurately or efficiently, seem to have no checks or balances, and can take our homes without having to prove ownership. They have also quite studiously ignored Presidential requests. 

Ignore their sales messages; of course, they are informing you that you are to “keep using your debit card and credit card just as you’re doing today . . . ” However, we recommend cutting up your credit cards. All of them! Right now! You CAN live debt-free.